Podcasting Trends & Ad Revenue Forecast: $400M in 2011

Details of a new eMarketer report on Podcasting have surfaced in Media Week (via Frank Barnako’s blog)

Highlights:

  • Spending on podcasting advertising will quintuple over the next five years, from a paltry $80 million base in 2006 to a $400 million market in 2011.
  • eMarketer analyst James Belcher expects that by 2008, (Google) will develop a version of AdSense that can be easily adapted to podcasts, theoretically allowing any podcaster to add advertising.
  • Market size: some 90,000 podcasts are available on the Web and there are close to 90 million iPods in the market
  • Just 12% of Americans report having ever consumed a podcast and just 1% do so regularly, which translates to roughly 3 million people.
  • Despite the small base of users, podcasting represents an attractive medium, given its targeting, its low cost and its obsessive/passionate user base but podcasting is thought of as a supplemental medium by advertisers.
  • Several major brands have jumped into the medium. Podtrac, a startup that’s building a podcasting network, has run podcast campaigns for Warner Bros., Paramount, Dell, T-Mobile, HBO, Honda and others, with most coming in the second half of last year.
  • A common complaint among buyers and sellers: it’s very difficult to measure exactly how many people actually listen to or view individual podcasts right now.

What it means: based on that information, podcasting is still very much a niche market. The winner will probably be the company that manages to aggregate enough ears or eyeballs to create critical mass. Standard measurements will also be key if pro podcasters want this to become a true media. Would love to know what my friend Mitch Joel, a pro podcaster with 38 “Six Pixels of Separation” podcasts under his belt, thinks of this new report.

One thought on “Podcasting Trends & Ad Revenue Forecast: $400M in 2011

  1. It’s funny how people look at a new channel and think they can just dump in the old advertising model.

    I’m going to deep dive on this topic shortly on my own Blog (you didn’t think that I missed this news item, did you Seb?), but my view is that they have it all wrong and that even more money will go towards podcasting – video and audio.

    I think we’ll see a move away from pre-rolls and AdSense-type advertising as companies will create content that will act as media. What does that mean? Unique podcasts where the content is the media – not a car podcast with a BMW 30-second spot upfront, but a podcast about the experience of driving by BMW.

    It’s a long road as companies are much better at ad campaigns than creating true and valuable content – but it is coming.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s